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Red272
3944105.6
6748102.0
7214125.6
Blue355
5613123.9
1212116.2
6352156.5
12%Model gave it88%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2093620100300400500600272355

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7214
#30
125.61.9
118.7120.6
Auto16.9
Teleop93.9
End13.5
blue by 30.9
156.56.1
139.2145.3
Auto19.6
Teleop119.9
End15.1
Second
3944
#40
105.60.5
105.0105.5
Auto13.3
Teleop75.0
End17.3
blue by 18.3
5613
#11
123.90.2
123.8124.0
Auto19.4
Teleop90.2
End12.4
Third
6748
#39
102.04.0
109.9105.9
Auto11.7
Teleop83.5
End9.2
blue by 14.2
1212
#13
116.20.5
114.3113.9
Auto13.8
Teleop93.6
End9.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
9%Auto Quest oddsMissed25%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed