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Red232
2647121.5
2844101.5
5613123.9
Blue361
2449136.9
2840120.8
2478165.0
13%Model gave it87%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2253680100300400500600700232361

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5613
#11
123.90.6
124.0124.5
Auto19.4
Teleop90.2
End12.4
blue by 41.1
165.01.7
155.3157.0
Auto21.5
Teleop120.0
End26.4
Second
2647
#14
121.52.1
117.3119.4
Auto16.6
Teleop94.5
End7.7
blue by 15.4
136.90.1
134.2134.3
Auto17.0
Teleop99.2
End18.4
Third
2844
#41
101.51.1
105.0104.0
Auto13.8
Teleop76.4
End5.9
blue by 19.4
2840
#19
120.81.2
116.4117.6
Auto15.8
Teleop92.7
End11.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
40%Auto Quest oddsEarned60%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed