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Red117
701794.2
6352156.5
6871122.9
Blue371
668399.1
1726157.7
991147.2
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2633110100200400500600700800117371

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
156.54.8
145.3150.1
Auto19.6
Teleop119.9
End15.1
blue by 1.3
157.72.0
147.5149.5
Auto17.4
Teleop119.3
End24.0
Second
6871
#18
122.90.4
123.2123.5
Auto16.8
Teleop90.1
End16.2
blue by 24.3
991
#9
147.20.3
144.3144.6
Auto17.2
Teleop115.5
End15.5
Third
7017
#38
94.21.6
99.998.3
Auto14.5
Teleop82.3
End-1.6
blue by 4.9
6683
#25
99.10.6
95.095.6
Auto12.8
Teleop74.2
End13.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
25%Auto Quest oddsMissed18%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
7%Face the Boss oddsMissed2%Face the Boss oddsMissed