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Qual 72018 Arizona West Regional
Red408
991147.2
7214125.6
6352156.5
Blue231
6833147.9
6479151.2
698118.4
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions286329100200400500408231

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6352
#7
156.515.3
80.5→95.8
Auto19.6
Teleop119.9
End15.1
red by 5.3
6479
#12
151.215.5
79.1→94.6
Auto18.7
Teleop112.0
End18.4
Second
991
#9
147.22.9
125.8→128.7
Auto17.2
Teleop115.5
End15.5
blue by 0.7
6833
#34
147.93.5
136.6→140.1
Auto15.8
Teleop106.4
End23.6
Third
7214
#30
125.62.0
109.7→111.7
Auto16.9
Teleop93.9
End13.5
red by 7.2
698
#20
118.40.9
124.2→125.2
Auto18.2
Teleop86.4
End11.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
29%Auto Quest oddsMissed44%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed