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Qual 82018 Arizona West Regional
Red355
2403172.1
2478165.0
4111102.9
Blue197
1212116.2
1726157.7
1290111.8
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2722900100200400500600355197

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2403
#1
172.11.3
135.6→137.0
Auto23.4
Teleop127.4
End25.8
red by 14.4
1726
#5
157.70.7
145.1→145.8
Auto17.4
Teleop119.3
End24.0
Second
2478
#2
165.00.1
145.6→145.7
Auto21.5
Teleop120.0
End26.4
red by 48.8
1212
#13
116.210.9
88.4→99.3
Auto13.8
Teleop93.6
End9.5
Third
4111
#23
102.910.7
72.9→83.6
Auto15.3
Teleop80.8
End3.8
blue by 8.9
1290
#37
111.88.3
84.3→92.6
Auto13.2
Teleop87.8
End9.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
64%Auto Quest oddsEarned24%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed