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Red222
4565163.4
6314126.6
6479151.2
Blue521
2478165.0
4146157.7
1726157.7
24%Model gave it76%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions293387100200500600700222521

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4565
#16
163.40.7
163.0163.8
Auto21.1
Teleop115.2
End26.6
blue by 1.5
165.01.8
157.0158.8
Auto21.5
Teleop120.0
End26.4
Second
6479
#12
151.20.7
151.6152.3
Auto18.7
Teleop112.0
End18.4
blue by 6.5
157.72.4
149.5151.9
Auto17.4
Teleop119.3
End24.0
Third
6314
#26
126.60.2
128.9128.7
Auto16.6
Teleop101.1
End5.2
blue by 31.1
157.71.7
148.4150.1
Auto21.4
Teleop115.2
End23.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
50%Auto Quest oddsMissed92%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
6%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsEarned