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Red377
1492160.8
6833147.9
6871122.9
Blue191
5465102.1
2647121.5
498148.5
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3502680100200300400500600377191

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
160.81.7
153.9155.6
Auto19.3
Teleop121.4
End19.8
red by 12.3
498
#28
148.50.6
149.9150.5
Auto17.5
Teleop113.4
End12.4
Second
6833
#34
147.90.1
147.4147.5
Auto15.8
Teleop106.4
End23.6
red by 26.4
2647
#14
121.51.6
119.4120.9
Auto16.6
Teleop94.5
End7.7
Third
6871
#18
122.90.7
123.5122.9
Auto16.8
Teleop90.1
End16.2
red by 20.8
5465
#33
102.10.6
102.3102.9
Auto14.8
Teleop82.3
End4.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
29%Auto Quest oddsEarned35%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed2%Face the Boss oddsMissed