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Red250
6922111.0
1290111.8
6833147.9
Blue312
5200104.5
1165114.3
6413109.0
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3672010100300400500600700250312

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6833
#34
147.90.6
147.5148.1
Auto15.8
Teleop106.4
End23.6
red by 33.6
1165
#32
114.30.9
115.3114.3
Auto15.7
Teleop87.2
End11.2
Second
1290
#37
111.80.1
111.9111.8
Auto13.2
Teleop87.8
End9.9
red by 2.8
6413
#10
109.00.6
108.0108.5
Auto15.8
Teleop76.7
End16.1
Third
6922
#22
111.01.0
110.0111.0
Auto14.4
Teleop87.5
End9.9
red by 6.5
5200
#29
104.50.4
104.1104.5
Auto14.1
Teleop78.6
End10.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
11%Auto Quest oddsMissed12%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed