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Red270
313394.5
6352156.5
2647121.5
Blue294
2478165.0
2662127.5
6674114.3
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions267336100200300400500600270294

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
156.52.2
151.7153.9
Auto19.6
Teleop119.9
End15.1
blue by 8.5
165.02.4
158.8161.2
Auto21.5
Teleop120.0
End26.4
Second
2647
#14
121.50.4
120.9121.3
Auto16.6
Teleop94.5
End7.7
blue by 6.0
2662
#15
127.50.2
127.3127.5
Auto17.0
Teleop102.6
End6.7
Third
3133
#36
94.50.4
94.194.5
Auto12.2
Teleop70.4
End13.9
blue by 19.8
6674
#27
114.31.5
112.9114.3
Auto17.5
Teleop82.9
End17.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
39%Auto Quest oddsMissed58%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed