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Red464
2478165.0
2403172.1
2840120.8
Blue185
498148.5
2449136.9
6314126.6
92%Model gave it8%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions402258100200300500600700464185

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
172.10.8
169.7170.5
Auto23.4
Teleop127.4
End25.8
red by 23.6
498
#28
148.50.4
148.9148.5
Auto17.5
Teleop113.4
End12.4
Second
165.00.6
163.1163.7
Auto21.5
Teleop120.0
End26.4
red by 28.1
136.90.1
137.0136.9
Auto17.0
Teleop99.2
End18.4
Third
2840
#19
120.80.1
120.4120.5
Auto15.8
Teleop92.7
End11.4
blue by 5.8
6314
#26
126.60.3
126.9126.6
Auto16.6
Teleop101.1
End5.2