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Quarterfinal 2-12018 Arizona West Regional
Red383
7214125.6
1726157.7
3944105.6
Blue203
498148.5
2449136.9
6314126.6
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions314311250300350400450383203

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1726
#5
157.70.9
154.9→155.8
Auto17.4
Teleop119.3
End24.0
red by 9.2
498
#28
148.50.2
150.1→149.9
Auto17.5
Teleop113.4
End12.4
Second
7214
#30
125.60.2
124.8→125.0
Auto16.9
Teleop93.9
End13.5
blue by 11.3
2449
#8
136.90.2
136.5→136.8
Auto17.0
Teleop99.2
End18.4
Third
3944
#40
105.60.3
106.2→105.9
Auto13.3
Teleop75.0
End17.3
blue by 21.0
6314
#26
126.60.1
127.7→127.6
Auto16.6
Teleop101.1
End5.2