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Red364
3853154.4
4146157.7
3019126.8
Blue281
6352156.5
1492160.8
6833147.9
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions318378100200500600700364281

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
157.70.7
154.0154.7
Auto21.4
Teleop115.2
End23.5
blue by 3.1
160.80.7
159.0159.7
Auto19.3
Teleop121.4
End19.8
Second
154.40.5
151.7152.2
Auto17.6
Teleop114.1
End21.7
blue by 2.0
156.50.6
155.0155.6
Auto19.6
Teleop119.9
End15.1
Third
3019
#35
126.80.1
126.8126.7
Auto16.0
Teleop98.4
End11.6
blue by 21.1
6833
#34
147.90.0
148.0148.0
Auto15.8
Teleop106.4
End23.6