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Red367
7214125.6
1726157.7
3944105.6
Blue374
498148.5
2449136.9
6314126.6
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions317307250350400367374

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
157.71.0
155.8156.7
Auto17.4
Teleop119.3
End24.0
red by 9.2
498
#28
148.50.3
149.9149.5
Auto17.5
Teleop113.4
End12.4
Second
7214
#30
125.60.2
125.0125.3
Auto16.9
Teleop93.9
End13.5
blue by 11.3
136.90.1
136.8136.9
Auto17.0
Teleop99.2
End18.4
Third
3944
#40
105.60.2
105.9105.7
Auto13.3
Teleop75.0
End17.3
blue by 21.0
6314
#26
126.60.2
127.6127.4
Auto16.6
Teleop101.1
End5.2