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Red170
2647118.5
5059145.8
6518123.2
Blue294
6833128.8
1726165.7
2375122.3
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions29433102004006008001,0001,200170294

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5059
#23
145.80.3
150.2150.5
Auto19.8
Teleop107.0
End19.4
blue by 19.9
165.72.7
157.7160.4
Auto19.0
Teleop128.0
End17.0
Second
6518
#25
123.21.1
128.1129.2
Auto17.8
Teleop95.1
End7.9
blue by 5.6
6833
#11
128.81.4
133.0131.6
Auto17.7
Teleop96.5
End15.6
Third
2647
#20
118.50.0
121.5121.5
Auto16.0
Teleop94.1
End7.1
blue by 3.8
122.30.6
118.6119.1
Auto15.2
Teleop91.6
End17.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
63%Auto Quest oddsMissed42%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed