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Qual 22018 Sanghi Foundation FIRST Robotics Competition Arizona State Championship
Red195
3187115.7
6352154.9
3853161.9
Blue336
842207.8
2662131.9
6871118.4
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions31033205001,0001,5002,0002,5003,000195336

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3853
#22
161.91.3
166.6→167.9
Auto20.0
Teleop119.2
End18.7
blue by 45.9
842
#1
207.80.8
202.4→201.7
Auto23.2
Teleop168.3
End16.8
Second
6352
#17
154.90.8
156.5→157.3
Auto18.9
Teleop121.0
End14.9
red by 23.0
2662
#19
131.90.0
127.5→127.5
Auto18.7
Teleop107.0
End5.7
Third
3187
#14
115.70.8
111.8→112.5
Auto14.3
Teleop82.5
End20.1
blue by 2.8
6871
#16
118.40.8
116.5→115.8
Auto17.2
Teleop84.1
End16.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
60%Auto Quest oddsMissed60%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
10%Face the Boss oddsMissed5%Face the Boss oddsMissed