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Red350
1726165.7
6352154.9
701788.7
Blue304
6833128.8
5059145.8
3019135.9
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions339276100200400500600700350304

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1726
#8Sur
165.71.7
162.1163.8
Auto19.0
Teleop128.0
End17.0
red by 19.9
5059
#23
145.81.6
150.2148.6
Auto19.8
Teleop107.0
End19.4
Second
6352
#17
154.90.4
157.4157.0
Auto18.9
Teleop121.0
End14.9
red by 19.0
135.90.5
128.6129.1
Auto18.1
Teleop101.3
End18.2
Third
7017
#24
88.71.4
93.792.3
Auto13.6
Teleop76.9
End2.2
blue by 40.1
6833
#11Sur
128.81.5
131.6130.1
Auto17.7
Teleop96.5
End15.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
21%Auto Quest oddsMissed34%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed2%Face the Boss oddsMissed