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Red463
3853161.9
4565159.2
2375122.3
Blue244
498140.9
2486161.5
411199.3
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions347304100200400500600463244

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3853
#22
161.90.0
168.4168.4
Auto20.0
Teleop119.2
End18.7
red by 0.5
161.50.2
166.4166.7
Auto24.0
Teleop116.4
End18.9
Second
159.20.6
161.9161.3
Auto22.6
Teleop113.7
End21.3
red by 18.3
498
#21
140.90.8
147.2146.4
Auto18.8
Teleop109.3
End14.7
Third
122.30.4
119.1119.6
Auto15.2
Teleop91.6
End17.9
red by 23.0
4111
#27
99.31.0
102.0101.0
Auto15.6
Teleop80.8
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
56%Auto Quest oddsEarned73%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
16%Face the Boss oddsMissed5%Face the Boss oddsMissed