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Red373
842207.8
6518123.2
6683100.1
Blue251
2662131.9
1492162.8
7214130.3
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions34126902004006008001,000373251

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
842
#1
207.80.3
201.3201.5
Auto23.2
Teleop168.3
End16.8
red by 45.0
1492
#18
162.80.6
163.0162.4
Auto20.6
Teleop124.3
End16.1
Second
6518
#25
123.20.6
129.0128.4
Auto17.8
Teleop95.1
End7.9
blue by 8.7
2662
#19
131.90.1
127.8127.7
Auto18.7
Teleop107.0
End5.7
Third
6683
#29
100.10.6
100.2100.8
Auto14.7
Teleop76.4
End8.7
blue by 30.1
7214
#26
130.30.5
127.1127.6
Auto17.8
Teleop98.0
End15.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
47%Auto Quest oddsEarned42%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed2%Face the Boss oddsMissed