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Red328
6871118.4
2403193.0
4183150.8
Blue372
4146174.7
2449138.0
2647118.5
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3382940100200400500600700328372

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
193.00.4
184.7185.1
Auto25.7
Teleop143.0
End25.1
red by 18.4
174.70.3
162.7163.0
Auto17.9
Teleop133.3
End23.5
Second
4183
#15
150.81.0
153.6152.6
Auto22.4
Teleop115.1
End13.7
red by 12.8
138.00.6
136.5136.0
Auto17.6
Teleop103.6
End17.4
Third
6871
#16
118.40.1
115.4115.3
Auto17.2
Teleop84.1
End16.7
blue by 0.1
2647
#20
118.51.0
120.9119.9
Auto16.0
Teleop94.1
End7.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
88%Auto Quest oddsEarned74%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
7%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed