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Red270
411199.3
6871118.4
2478184.5
Blue287
2486161.5
6833128.8
7214130.3
44%Model gave it56%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions306309240260280320340360270287

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2478
#13
184.51.2
179.3180.5
Auto21.8
Teleop137.8
End25.6
red by 23.0
161.50.0
166.7166.6
Auto24.0
Teleop116.4
End18.9
Second
6871
#16
118.40.0
115.3115.3
Auto17.2
Teleop84.1
End16.7
blue by 11.9
7214
#26
130.30.5
127.6128.1
Auto17.8
Teleop98.0
End15.3
Third
4111
#27
99.31.0
101.0100.0
Auto15.6
Teleop80.8
End2.7
blue by 29.5
6833
#11
128.80.7
130.1129.4
Auto17.7
Teleop96.5
End15.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
70%Auto Quest oddsEarned51%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
10%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed