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Red415
3187115.7
2662131.9
4565159.2
Blue212
6683100.1
3853161.9
5059145.8
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2963520200400600800415212

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
159.20.3
161.3161.0
Auto22.6
Teleop113.7
End21.3
blue by 2.7
3853
#22
161.90.2
168.4168.6
Auto20.0
Teleop119.2
End18.7
Second
2662
#19
131.90.0
127.7127.7
Auto18.7
Teleop107.0
End5.7
blue by 13.9
5059
#23
145.80.8
148.6147.9
Auto19.8
Teleop107.0
End19.4
Third
3187
#14
115.70.3
112.8112.5
Auto14.3
Teleop82.5
End20.1
red by 15.5
6683
#29
100.11.1
100.8101.8
Auto14.7
Teleop76.4
End8.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
18%Auto Quest oddsEarned67%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed6%Face the Boss oddsMissed