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Red80
991142.0
3853161.9
1726165.7
Blue431
6833128.8
2478184.5
4146174.7
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions32635110020030040050080431

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
165.70.7
167.0167.6
Auto19.0
Teleop128.0
End17.0
blue by 18.7
2478
#13
184.50.4
182.5182.9
Auto21.8
Teleop137.8
End25.6
Second
3853
#22
161.91.5
166.3164.8
Auto20.0
Teleop119.2
End18.7
blue by 12.7
174.72.4
166.9169.3
Auto17.9
Teleop133.3
End23.5
Third
991
#28
142.00.5
144.5144.1
Auto15.8
Teleop110.9
End15.0
red by 13.2
6833
#11
128.80.2
128.3128.2
Auto17.7
Teleop96.5
End15.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
73%Auto Quest oddsMissed93%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
6%Face the Boss oddsMissed7%Face the Boss oddsMissed