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Red189
2647118.5
6683100.1
2486161.5
Blue402
2403193.0
3019135.9
6352154.9
14%Model gave it86%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2504110100200300500600700189402

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
161.50.9
164.8163.9
Auto24.0
Teleop116.4
End18.9
blue by 31.6
193.01.7
186.9188.6
Auto25.7
Teleop143.0
End25.1
Second
2647
#20
118.50.1
119.4119.3
Auto16.0
Teleop94.1
End7.1
blue by 36.4
6352
#17
154.90.0
154.7154.7
Auto18.9
Teleop121.0
End14.9
Third
6683
#29
100.10.1
101.4101.2
Auto14.7
Teleop76.4
End8.7
blue by 35.8
135.91.5
132.0133.6
Auto18.1
Teleop101.3
End18.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
58%Auto Quest oddsMissed62%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed5%Face the Boss oddsMissed