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Red334
4183150.8
6479141.2
2486161.5
Blue295
1726165.7
3019135.9
2662131.9
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions318322260280300340360380400334295

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
161.51.4
163.9162.5
Auto24.0
Teleop116.4
End18.9
blue by 4.3
165.71.2
167.6166.4
Auto19.0
Teleop128.0
End17.0
Second
4183
#15
150.80.2
150.9150.7
Auto22.4
Teleop115.1
End13.7
red by 14.9
135.91.5
133.6135.0
Auto18.1
Teleop101.3
End18.2
Third
6479
#12
141.20.7
141.9141.2
Auto18.3
Teleop108.0
End15.3
red by 9.3
2662
#19
131.90.9
131.1131.9
Auto18.7
Teleop107.0
End5.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
84%Auto Quest oddsEarned57%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
5%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed