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Red223
2375122.3
5059145.8
2478184.5
Blue394
6833128.8
1212121.9
842207.8
43%Model gave it57%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3033480100200400500600700800223394

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2478
#13
184.51.0
182.9183.9
Auto21.8
Teleop137.8
End25.6
blue by 23.4
842
#1
207.81.2
205.1206.3
Auto23.2
Teleop168.3
End16.8
Second
5059
#23
145.80.4
145.4145.8
Auto19.8
Teleop107.0
End19.4
red by 17.0
6833
#11
128.80.4
128.2128.6
Auto17.7
Teleop96.5
End15.6
Third
122.30.5
121.8122.3
Auto15.2
Teleop91.6
End17.9
red by 0.4
1212
#10
121.90.1
120.4120.5
Auto13.9
Teleop96.8
End12.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
67%Auto Quest oddsEarned47%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
7%Face the Boss oddsMissed2%Face the Boss oddsMissed