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Red307
3019135.9
1492162.8
4183150.8
Blue205
991142.0
4565159.2
411199.3
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3472940100200400500600700307205

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1492
#18
162.81.1
160.8161.9
Auto20.6
Teleop124.3
End16.1
red by 3.6
159.20.5
163.4163.0
Auto22.6
Teleop113.7
End21.3
Second
4183
#15
150.81.0
155.3154.3
Auto22.4
Teleop115.1
End13.7
red by 8.8
991
#28
142.00.3
147.2147.5
Auto15.8
Teleop110.9
End15.0
Third
135.90.1
128.6128.5
Auto18.1
Teleop101.3
End18.2
red by 36.7
4111
#27
99.30.1
102.9102.8
Auto15.6
Teleop80.8
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
70%Auto Quest oddsEarned48%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed5%Face the Boss oddsMissed