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Red346
6683100.1
498140.9
6833128.8
Blue399
2486161.5
1212121.9
2449138.0
25%Model gave it75%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2383660100200300400500600700346399

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
498
#21
140.90.1
141.0140.9
Auto18.8
Teleop109.3
End14.7
blue by 20.5
161.50.8
162.5161.7
Auto24.0
Teleop116.4
End18.9
Second
6833
#11
128.80.5
129.3128.8
Auto17.7
Teleop96.5
End15.6
blue by 9.2
138.01.0
136.3137.3
Auto17.6
Teleop103.6
End17.4
Third
6683
#29
100.10.4
100.5100.1
Auto14.7
Teleop76.4
End8.7
blue by 21.7
1212
#10
121.90.4
120.5120.9
Auto13.9
Teleop96.8
End12.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
30%Auto Quest oddsEarned63%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss oddsMissed5%Face the Boss oddsMissed