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Red313
2478184.5
3853161.9
6479141.2
Blue179
6352154.9
2647118.5
4183150.8
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4022620100200300500600700800313179

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2478
#13
184.51.4
177.2178.6
Auto21.8
Teleop137.8
End25.6
red by 29.5
6352
#17
154.90.1
157.3157.4
Auto18.9
Teleop121.0
End14.9
Second
3853
#22
161.90.5
167.9168.4
Auto20.0
Teleop119.2
End18.7
red by 11.1
4183
#15
150.80.6
154.3153.6
Auto22.4
Teleop115.1
End13.7
Third
6479
#12
141.21.3
150.2149.0
Auto18.3
Teleop108.0
End15.3
red by 22.7
2647
#20
118.50.6
121.5120.9
Auto16.0
Teleop94.1
End7.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
84%Auto Quest oddsEarned66%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
13%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed