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Red237
3187115.7
991142.0
7214130.3
Blue366
1212121.9
2403193.0
4565159.2
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2663920100200500600700800237366

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
991
#28
142.00.4
147.5147.1
Auto15.8
Teleop110.9
End15.0
blue by 51.0
193.00.2
184.5184.7
Auto25.7
Teleop143.0
End25.1
Second
7214
#26
130.30.7
126.4127.1
Auto17.8
Teleop98.0
End15.3
blue by 29.0
159.21.0
163.0161.9
Auto22.6
Teleop113.7
End21.3
Third
3187
#14
115.70.2
112.5112.7
Auto14.3
Teleop82.5
End20.1
blue by 6.2
1212
#10
121.90.7
116.2116.9
Auto13.9
Teleop96.8
End12.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
21%Auto Quest oddsMissed62%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss oddsMissed8%Face the Boss oddsMissed