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Red207
2662131.9
6683100.1
2449138.0
Blue316
3019135.9
2375122.3
4146174.7
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2513380100200300400500600700800207316

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
138.00.3
136.9136.5
Auto17.6
Teleop103.6
End17.4
blue by 36.6
174.70.1
162.8162.7
Auto17.9
Teleop133.3
End23.5
Second
2662
#19
131.90.2
127.5127.8
Auto18.7
Teleop107.0
End5.7
blue by 4.0
135.90.1
128.5128.6
Auto18.1
Teleop101.3
End18.2
Third
6683
#29
100.11.1
99.1100.2
Auto14.7
Teleop76.4
End8.7
blue by 22.2
122.30.0
119.1119.1
Auto15.2
Teleop91.6
End17.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
35%Auto Quest oddsMissed65%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed