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Red401
1726165.7
498140.9
6871118.4
Blue70
1492162.8
701788.7
5059145.8
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions33228610020040050060040170

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
165.71.8
160.4162.1
Auto19.0
Teleop128.0
End17.0
red by 2.9
1492
#18
162.81.1
161.9163.0
Auto20.6
Teleop124.3
End16.1
Second
498
#21
140.91.3
148.5147.2
Auto18.8
Teleop109.3
End14.7
blue by 4.9
5059
#23
145.80.3
150.5150.2
Auto19.8
Teleop107.0
End19.4
Third
6871
#16
118.40.4
115.8115.4
Auto17.2
Teleop84.1
End16.7
red by 29.7
7017
#24
88.70.1
93.993.7
Auto13.6
Teleop76.9
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
50%Auto Quest oddsEarned35%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
5%Face the Boss oddsMissed2%Face the Boss oddsMissed