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Red203
126147.9
138149.2
839142.0
Blue395
2084129.4
999145.9
319220.3
14%Model gave it86%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2773920100200500203395

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
138
#14
149.21.4
153.5152.2
Auto20.2
Teleop114.0
End15.5
blue by 71.1
319
#3
220.31.1
220.7219.6
Auto24.6
Teleop159.7
End35.9
Second
126
#33
147.90.3
149.2149.5
Auto19.7
Teleop107.8
End16.2
red by 1.9
999
#25
145.90.2
141.4141.2
Auto18.1
Teleop114.2
End11.8
Third
839
#36
142.01.1
142.4143.5
Auto15.3
Teleop106.7
End14.4
red by 12.6
2084
#50
129.40.5
136.8137.3
Auto17.6
Teleop102.3
End9.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
78%Auto Quest oddsMissed76%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss oddsMissed44%Face the Boss oddsMissed