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Red400
195239.2
175181.0
1058153.9
Blue252
6328159.9
3719122.9
190144.4
98%Model gave it2%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4682300100200300400500600400252

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
195
#1
239.20.5
232.8233.3
Auto24.9
Teleop182.2
End33.6
red by 79.2
6328
#26
159.90.3
161.0160.8
Auto22.5
Teleop118.0
End20.9
Second
175
#20
181.00.3
186.1185.8
Auto19.7
Teleop130.3
End29.2
red by 36.6
190
#27
144.40.2
147.4147.2
Auto18.2
Teleop111.9
End16.2
Third
1058
#42
153.91.8
172.2170.3
Auto17.0
Teleop117.3
End11.9
red by 30.9
3719
#54
122.90.4
122.1121.7
Auto15.2
Teleop95.0
End13.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
93%Auto Quest oddsMissed63%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
81%Face the Boss oddsEarned13%Face the Boss oddsMissed