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Red344
1474113.6
2342153.1
1729152.3
Blue223
3236162.7
121139.2
157138.4
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions314343100200400500600344223

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2342
#22
153.10.3
153.8154.1
Auto17.3
Teleop120.8
End16.4
blue by 9.6
162.70.1
166.3166.1
Auto19.6
Teleop118.8
End21.4
Second
152.30.8
155.9155.1
Auto17.6
Teleop118.0
End17.5
red by 13.1
121
#56
139.20.5
150.7150.2
Auto22.4
Teleop104.1
End11.8
Third
1474
#58
113.60.0
115.5115.5
Auto14.9
Teleop86.7
End9.8
blue by 24.8
157
#11
138.40.6
136.3136.9
Auto18.4
Teleop108.2
End12.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
69%Auto Quest oddsMissed81%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
6%Face the Boss oddsMissed7%Face the Boss oddsMissed