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Red265
1735108.7
228165.2
5421131.1
Blue259
2262109.3
4987108.2
4909169.6
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions341296100200400500600265259

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
228
#6
165.20.5
165.8165.3
Auto19.2
Teleop129.3
End17.4
blue by 4.5
4909
#10
169.60.7
167.0166.3
Auto19.2
Teleop123.4
End28.1
Second
5421
#16
131.10.1
132.4132.5
Auto16.4
Teleop103.3
End12.0
red by 21.9
2262
#52
109.30.6
116.7116.1
Auto18.2
Teleop83.6
End6.7
Third
1735
#35
108.70.5
110.9110.4
Auto17.5
Teleop81.1
End8.4
red by 0.5
4987
#31
108.21.9
114.5112.6
Auto19.6
Teleop80.2
End8.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
51%Auto Quest oddsEarned71%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed6%Face the Boss oddsMissed