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Red395
138149.2
694208.5
4097113.6
Blue192
166128.0
467149.9
3467125.3
92%Model gave it8%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3982310100200300500395192

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
694
#13
208.50.5
209.4209.9
Auto23.3
Teleop162.6
End25.4
red by 58.6
467
#43
149.91.4
148.8150.2
Auto18.0
Teleop112.7
End17.2
Second
138
#14
149.21.6
152.2150.6
Auto20.2
Teleop114.0
End15.5
red by 21.2
166
#40
128.00.6
130.9130.3
Auto16.8
Teleop95.0
End13.9
Third
4097
#53
113.60.1
118.3118.1
Auto13.3
Teleop87.2
End7.8
blue by 11.7
3467
#49
125.30.1
130.6130.6
Auto17.4
Teleop100.6
End6.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
77%Auto Quest oddsEarned35%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed5%Face the Boss oddsMissed