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Red399
3467125.3
6328159.9
228165.2
Blue225
3314176.2
1735108.7
121139.2
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions345310100200400500600399225

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
228
#6
165.21.0
165.3164.3
Auto19.2
Teleop129.3
End17.4
blue by 11.0
176.21.2
175.8174.6
Auto22.5
Teleop126.1
End27.3
Second
6328
#26
159.90.1
160.8160.7
Auto22.5
Teleop118.0
End20.9
red by 20.7
121
#56
139.21.4
150.2148.8
Auto22.4
Teleop104.1
End11.8
Third
3467
#49
125.30.7
130.6130.0
Auto17.4
Teleop100.6
End6.7
red by 16.6
1735
#35
108.71.0
110.4109.4
Auto17.5
Teleop81.1
End8.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
84%Auto Quest oddsEarned84%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
7%Face the Boss oddsMissed24%Face the Boss oddsMissed