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Red418
138149.2
157138.4
2877184.6
Blue195
3719122.9
61163.8
4987108.2
94%Model gave it6%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3992300100200300500418195

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2877
#18
184.60.3
186.1186.3
Auto23.1
Teleop145.4
End13.9
red by 20.9
61
#12
163.82.0
172.0170.1
Auto23.3
Teleop123.4
End16.1
Second
138
#14
149.21.5
150.6149.1
Auto20.2
Teleop114.0
End15.5
red by 26.3
3719
#54
122.90.2
121.7121.5
Auto15.2
Teleop95.0
End13.1
Third
157
#11
138.40.5
136.9136.5
Auto18.4
Teleop108.2
End12.5
red by 30.1
4987
#31
108.21.4
112.6111.1
Auto19.6
Teleop80.2
End8.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
86%Auto Quest oddsEarned86%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed2%Face the Boss oddsMissed