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Red301
1721161.5
126147.9
2262109.3
Blue292
1474113.6
181160.4
6333110.4
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions370276100200300400500600301292

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1721
#28
161.50.9
165.5166.4
Auto18.2
Teleop119.1
End20.5
red by 1.1
181
#21
160.40.1
158.5158.5
Auto18.7
Teleop115.2
End26.9
Second
126
#33
147.90.5
149.2149.6
Auto19.7
Teleop107.8
End16.2
red by 34.3
1474
#58
113.60.3
115.5115.8
Auto14.9
Teleop86.7
End9.8
Third
2262
#52
109.30.4
116.1115.7
Auto18.2
Teleop83.6
End6.7
blue by 1.2
6333
#60
110.41.3
117.2115.9
Auto17.5
Teleop83.3
End9.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
65%Auto Quest oddsEarned39%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed5%Face the Boss oddsMissed