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Red346
467149.9
999145.9
4909169.6
Blue342
319220.3
885125.6
1991128.0
43%Model gave it57%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions334346200250300400450500550346342

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4909
#10
169.60.5
166.3165.7
Auto19.2
Teleop123.4
End28.1
blue by 50.7
319
#3
220.30.4
219.2218.7
Auto24.6
Teleop159.7
End35.9
Second
467
#43
149.90.4
150.2150.5
Auto18.0
Teleop112.7
End17.2
red by 21.9
1991
#23
128.00.0
122.5122.5
Auto18.5
Teleop96.4
End15.0
Third
999
#25
145.90.3
141.4141.6
Auto18.1
Teleop114.2
End11.8
red by 20.3
885
#24
125.60.3
123.5123.2
Auto16.0
Teleop98.6
End13.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
56%Auto Quest oddsEarned28%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
19%Face the Boss oddsMissed28%Face the Boss oddsMissed