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Red274
839142.0
501119.4
6328159.9
Blue309
5813176.9
1100172.9
157138.4
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions293379100200500600274309

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6328
#26
159.90.2
160.7160.9
Auto22.5
Teleop118.0
End20.9
blue by 16.9
176.90.1
171.8171.7
Auto22.1
Teleop138.5
End22.0
Second
839
#36
142.00.0
143.7143.7
Auto15.3
Teleop106.7
End14.4
blue by 31.0
1100
#17
172.91.2
176.7175.5
Auto22.0
Teleop126.7
End25.3
Third
501
#55
119.40.9
125.4124.5
Auto17.5
Teleop88.0
End13.9
blue by 18.9
157
#11
138.40.2
136.5136.3
Auto18.4
Teleop108.2
End12.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
60%Auto Quest oddsMissed92%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
6%Face the Boss oddsMissed5%Face the Boss oddsEarned