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Qual 332018 BattleCry 19
Red385
6333110.4
166128.0
2168198.2
Blue389
3314176.2
237174.6
4987108.2
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions313330150200250350400450385389

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2168
#37
198.20.4
188.5→189.0
Auto21.4
Teleop162.1
End16.3
red by 22.0
3314
#5
176.21.5
174.6→173.1
Auto22.5
Teleop126.1
End27.3
Second
166
#40
128.01.4
129.1→127.7
Auto16.8
Teleop95.0
End13.9
blue by 46.6
237
#45
174.60.5
177.4→176.9
Auto19.9
Teleop128.9
End25.0
Third
6333
#60
110.41.4
115.9→114.5
Auto17.5
Teleop83.3
End9.4
red by 2.2
4987
#31
108.21.2
111.1→110.0
Auto19.6
Teleop80.2
End8.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
41%Auto Quest oddsMissed94%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss oddsMissed47%Face the Boss oddsEarned