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Red346
4987108.2
3236162.7
181160.4
Blue237
501119.4
172130.5
467149.9
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions339312100200400500600346237

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
162.70.9
164.2163.3
Auto19.6
Teleop118.8
End21.4
red by 12.9
467
#43
149.90.5
151.2151.6
Auto18.0
Teleop112.7
End17.2
Second
181
#21
160.40.2
158.3158.4
Auto18.7
Teleop115.2
End26.9
red by 29.9
172
#30
130.51.0
133.2132.2
Auto16.5
Teleop98.1
End17.4
Third
4987
#31
108.20.6
110.0109.3
Auto19.6
Teleop80.2
End8.3
blue by 11.2
501
#55
119.41.3
124.5123.2
Auto17.5
Teleop88.0
End13.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
75%Auto Quest oddsMissed42%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
11%Face the Boss oddsEarned6%Face the Boss oddsMissed