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Red351
6328159.9
166128.0
61163.8
Blue281
5846156.9
1073159.2
126147.9
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions315370100200400500351281

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
61
#12
163.81.4
168.4167.0
Auto23.3
Teleop123.4
End16.1
red by 4.5
1073
#38
159.20.8
159.7160.5
Auto21.0
Teleop125.9
End13.3
Second
6328
#26
159.90.4
160.9160.6
Auto22.5
Teleop118.0
End20.9
red by 3.1
5846
#15
156.91.3
152.9154.3
Auto21.7
Teleop118.4
End14.6
Third
166
#40
128.00.4
127.7127.3
Auto16.8
Teleop95.0
End13.9
blue by 19.8
126
#33
147.90.2
149.7149.6
Auto19.7
Teleop107.8
End16.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
81%Auto Quest oddsEarned88%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
5%Face the Boss oddsMissed5%Face the Boss oddsMissed