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Red173
4909169.6
175181.0
7153113.0
Blue312
2168198.2
4176130.2
6763168.6
21%Model gave it79%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions298395100200500600700173312

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
175
#20
181.00.6
185.5186.1
Auto19.7
Teleop130.3
End29.2
blue by 17.2
2168
#37
198.20.0
189.5189.4
Auto21.4
Teleop162.1
End16.3
Second
4909
#10
169.60.0
167.0167.0
Auto19.2
Teleop123.4
End28.1
red by 1.1
6763
#48
168.60.2
178.3178.1
Auto18.5
Teleop129.7
End18.4
Third
7153
#46
113.01.3
112.0113.3
Auto17.8
Teleop80.0
End11.7
blue by 17.2
4176
#41
130.21.5
133.7135.2
Auto15.3
Teleop102.3
End11.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
79%Auto Quest oddsMissed77%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
37%Face the Boss oddsEarned6%Face the Boss oddsMissed