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Red140
1058153.9
5459115.0
5813176.9
Blue501
195239.2
2342153.1
172130.5
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions294389100200500600700140501

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
176.90.4
173.0173.4
Auto22.1
Teleop138.5
End22.0
blue by 62.3
195
#1
239.20.1
232.7232.8
Auto24.9
Teleop182.2
End33.6
Second
1058
#42
153.90.4
172.5172.2
Auto17.0
Teleop117.3
End11.9
red by 0.7
2342
#22
153.10.2
154.0153.8
Auto17.3
Teleop120.8
End16.4
Third
5459
#57
115.01.0
123.0124.0
Auto13.4
Teleop87.3
End14.5
blue by 15.4
172
#30
130.50.2
133.3133.1
Auto16.5
Teleop98.1
End17.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
52%Auto Quest oddsMissed90%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
5%Face the Boss oddsMissed45%Face the Boss oddsMissed