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Qual 72018 BattleCry 19
Red341
501119.4
1729152.3
3314176.2
Blue197
61163.8
1991128.0
4041172.8
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions36532902006008001,000341197

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3314
#5
176.20.3
176.6→176.4
Auto22.5
Teleop126.1
End27.3
red by 3.3
4041
#4
172.81.2
160.1→161.3
Auto22.1
Teleop126.1
End28.0
Second
1729
#8
152.30.6
156.4→155.9
Auto17.6
Teleop118.0
End17.5
blue by 11.5
61
#12
163.80.8
174.3→173.5
Auto23.3
Teleop123.4
End16.1
Third
501
#55
119.41.8
122.7→124.4
Auto17.5
Teleop88.0
End13.9
blue by 8.5
1991
#23
128.00.1
123.3→123.3
Auto18.5
Teleop96.4
End15.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
90%Auto Quest oddsMissed68%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
52%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed