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Qual 82018 BattleCry 19
Red304
237174.6
2262109.3
716138.6
Blue357
5846156.9
467149.9
157138.4
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions303366100200400500600304357

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
237
#45
174.61.0
175.6→176.6
Auto19.9
Teleop128.9
End25.0
red by 17.7
5846
#15
156.91.1
148.6→149.7
Auto21.7
Teleop118.4
End14.6
Second
716
#39
138.61.0
134.2→135.2
Auto15.7
Teleop109.3
End13.8
blue by 11.3
467
#43
149.91.6
147.2→148.8
Auto18.0
Teleop112.7
End17.2
Third
2262
#52
109.30.7
117.4→116.7
Auto18.2
Teleop83.6
End6.7
blue by 29.1
157
#11
138.40.7
135.6→136.3
Auto18.4
Teleop108.2
End12.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
80%Auto Quest oddsEarned92%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
6%Face the Boss oddsMissed14%Face the Boss oddsMissed