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Red322
4176130.2
6333110.4
228165.2
Blue253
4097113.6
157138.4
1991128.0
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions31429905001,0001,5002,0002,5003,0003,5004,000322253

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
228
#6
165.20.4
163.7164.1
Auto19.2
Teleop129.3
End17.4
red by 26.8
157
#11
138.40.8
136.1136.9
Auto18.4
Teleop108.2
End12.5
Second
4176
#41
130.21.1
132.1131.0
Auto15.3
Teleop102.3
End11.6
red by 2.3
1991
#23
128.02.0
123.5125.5
Auto18.5
Teleop96.4
End15.0
Third
6333
#60
110.41.5
114.1112.7
Auto17.5
Teleop83.3
End9.4
blue by 3.1
4097
#53
113.61.1
117.5116.4
Auto13.3
Teleop87.2
End7.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
33%Auto Quest oddsEarned42%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
5%Face the Boss oddsMissed2%Face the Boss oddsMissed