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Red462
5813176.9
1729152.3
319220.3
Blue114
6224140.5
4048152.7
2262109.3
95%Model gave it5%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4262210100300500600462114

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
319
#3
220.30.4
218.6218.2
Auto24.6
Teleop159.7
End35.9
red by 67.6
4048
#29
152.72.0
148.9150.9
Auto19.3
Teleop115.4
End21.5
Second
176.90.8
171.5172.3
Auto22.1
Teleop138.5
End22.0
red by 36.3
6224
#19
140.51.4
137.6139.0
Auto18.4
Teleop112.6
End8.6
Third
152.31.7
154.2152.5
Auto17.6
Teleop118.0
End17.5
red by 43.0
2262
#52
109.31.3
114.0112.7
Auto18.2
Teleop83.6
End6.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
95%Auto Quest oddsEarned61%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
51%Face the Boss oddsEarned2%Face the Boss oddsMissed